← Yeti Gaming HVN Weekly 7/17/2025
Fire Firebloom BurnTier 1
at Yeti Gaming HVN Weekly 7/17/2025
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 12.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -2.0 |
| Fire Slimes | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 51.8% | +1.7 |
| Wind Lorraine | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Kongming | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Jin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.7 |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Wind Arcane | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.7 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 26 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 26 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashwick Cremator | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vermilion Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scathing Seminary | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rococo, Explosive Maven | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Focused Flames | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unstable Fractal | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ravenous Pyre | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Demolition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Necklace of Foresight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Creative Shock | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Diao Chan, Dreaming Wish | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spark Alight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sigil of Budding Embers | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Maiden of Shimmering Air | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fanatical Devotee | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fractal of Insight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crimson Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Acolyte of Cultivation | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |